Abstract Overview
Background:
Low physical activity (PA) levels are associated with increased mortality. Improved measurement via accelerometery has shown a stronger association between PA and all-cause mortality compared with self-reported survey data, but this has not yet been translated to estimates of the population level disease burden attributable to low PA.
Purpose:
To estimate by how much low physical activity reduces life expectancy, and how much lifetime could be gained by increasing physical activity levels for both populations and individuals.
Methods:
We used device-measured physical activity risk estimates of all-cause mortality and a lifetable model analysis to construct a model of the 2019 American population aged 40+ years. Mortality data were from the National Centre for Health Statistics, 2017.
Results:
If all were as active as the top 25% of the population, Americans over the age 40 could expect to live an extra 5.3 years (95% uncertainty interval 3.7 to 6.8) on average. The greatest average gain in lifetime per single hour of walking was seen for individuals in the lowest activity quartile, where a one-hour walk could add 376.3 minutes (~6.3 hours) to life expectancy (95% uncertainty interval 321.5 to 428.5 minutes), on average.
Conclusions:
Physical activity provides substantially larger health benefits than previously thought.
Practical implications:
Increased investment in physical activity promotion and creating physical activity promoting living environments can yield large health gains.
Funding:
Previous funding from the New South Wales Ministry of Health, Sydney, Australia, is gratefully acknowledged.
Additional Authors